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Crime Rates versus Crime Lyrics by Emmanuel Khodra

After the persistent media coverage about rap lyrics being used as evidence in trials, I decided that it would be beneficial to map crimes mentioned in rap lyrics against crime rates across the country. The study would provide insight into whether there was any correlation between lyrics that involved crime and the crimes themselves. Many people have associated rap lyrics with rising crime rates, suggesting that the genre is violent in nature. However, during my research, I stumbled upon an article on The Wire that described the opposite. The article describes that as hip hop became more popular, crime decreased. I centered my project around investigating this trend and its legitimacy.  My project focused on crimes individually, which means I compared robberies as well as violent crimes, drugs and gun possession. I collected data using Tahir Hemphill’s database The Hiphop Word Count, which ran through lyrics for a set of provided crimes and crime related words. Using the outputted list , I found the number of crimes mentioned for each year. I used the timeframe from 1989 - 2009. I then found a database online which contained most of the information I needed concerning crime rates. Once I had all of my data, I put it into a spreadsheet. 

Using the spreadsheet, I started on representing my data visually. My initial data visualization was unsuccessful. It displayed some of the data incorrectly and it crashed eventually. However, the incorrect display may have been a consequence of the type of graph I chose to use. On the other hand, I did find a data visualization I could use, which required exporting my data as a csv file. Although this second data visualization wasn’t as aesthetically pleasing as my initial data visualization, it displayed the data correctly. The data showed very little correlation between the crimes in the lyrics and their counterparts. For example, a significant crime drop between 1993 and 1995 is easily seen while crimes mentioned in rap lyrics are steadily increasing. Minor correlations such as stagnant robbery rates do not suggest causation, however. The results of my project suggest little correlation between crimes in lyrics and crimes in reality. In fact, certain parts of my results solidify the claim made in The Wire article, which suggests that increasing popularity in hip hop was concurrent with dropping crime rates.